w(xing)Ŀռe11.72e8596.78ƽ_(d)(wn)\(yn)IÿN뷀(wn)3941.15fԪң(wn)37.44fԪw(xing)ĿͶY~1465.38fԪͶYʞ-12.87%(xing)ĿͶYؔ(ci)(w)(ni)ʣ0.06%ͶYڣ1565.57꣬ӯ̝ƽc(din) BEP=54.60%
҂18̘I(y)Ӌ(j)(jng)(yn)LJ(ni)һ̘I(y)Ӌ(j)ԃC(j)(gu)֮һҲMIR 001—2021Ј{(dio)C(j)(gu)Y|(zh)ȼ(j)Ҏ(gu)F(tun)w(bio)(zhn)ƶλ֮һI(y)w̘I(y)Ӌ(j)о(bo)(xing)ĿYՈ(qng)(bo)(xing)ĿՈ(qng)(bo)棬(ji)܈(bo)(xing)ĿhЈо(bo)(bo)Чʸr(ji)gӭԃ13911268021
w(xing)ĿH(bio)(zhn)Y̘I(y)Ӌ(j)
Ŀ
C(j)
1. ժҪ 5
1.1 w(xing)Ŀ 5
1.2 wЈ 6
1.3 (xing)Ŀ 8
1.4 (xing)ĿYʽ 8
2. (xing)Ŀ 9
2.1 (xing)Ŀע(c)Ϣ 9
2.2 ˾vʷ 9
2.3 ə(qun)Y(ji)(gu) 9
2.4 F(tun)(du) 10
2.5 ˾l(f)չĿ(bio)Ͱl(f)չ(zhn) 11
3.a(chn)Ʒ--w 12
3.1 wҺ 12
wҮa(chn)Ʒ/(w)c̘I(y)ģʽ (@ҪBMͶYĮa(chn)Ʒ/(w)ıĿǰ̎l(f)չAcͬИI(y)˾ͬa(chn)Ʒ/(w)ı^˾a(chn)Ʒ/(w)·fM(jn)Ժͪ(d)ԣеČTg(sh)(qun)䷽ƷN۾W(wng)j(lu)SCI(qun)S(qun)(jng)I
3.2 wҼg(sh)c(din) 12
3.3wҽO(sh)Ҏ(gu)ģ 14
4wЈ 16
4.1wИI(y) 16
4.2 wa(chn)r 18
4.3 YYI(y)ˮƽ
4.4(ni)wҏS̼g(sh)ˮƽ
4.5 w҃r(ji) 22
4.6wĿ(bio)Ј(x) 22
4.7 wЈl(f)չڅ 25
5 wҠINӋ(j) 26
5.1wҮa(chn)Ʒλ 26
5.2w҃r(ji) 27
5.2INM 27
5.3IN(w) 29
5.4NĿ(bio)
^ȥ3 ~ 5ȫИI(y)Nۿ~һҪYρԴ
fԪ___________
??? |
ǰ5 |
ǰ4 |
ǰ3 |
ǰ2 |
ǰ1 |
wN |
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NL |
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δ3 ~5 ȫИI(y)wNA(y)yһҪYρԴ
fԪ
??? |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
wN |
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6wҸ 30
6.1 wҸśr 30
˾cИI(y)(ni)傀(g)Ҫ(du)ֵı^ҪҪNЈеĸ(du)
(du) |
wЈ~ |
(yu) |
ӄ |
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6.2 wҸ߸śr
(1)ͻұۄS
a I(y)
b˾Ҫa(chn)Ʒ
c˾(jng)Ir
dI(y)Ҫ(jng)(j)ָ(bio)A(y)y
eI(y)
fI(y)ИI(y)λ
gI(y)\(yn)I
hI(y)Ј~
iI(y)L
jI(y)δl(f)չڅ
(2)ͻұۄS
a I(y)
b˾Ҫa(chn)Ʒ
c˾(jng)Ir
dI(y)Ҫ(jng)(j)ָ(bio)A(y)y
eI(y)
fI(y)ИI(y)λ
gI(y)\(yn)I
hI(y)Ј~
iI(y)L
jI(y)δl(f)չڅ
(3)h䓞ȪV(sh)I(y)˾
a I(y)
b˾Ҫa(chn)Ʒ
c˾(jng)Ir
dI(y)Ҫ(jng)(j)ָ(bio)A(y)y
eI(y)
fI(y)ИI(y)λ
gI(y)\(yn)I
hI(y)Ј~
iI(y)L
jI(y)δl(f)չڅ
(4)hнą^(q)䓞ȪV(sh)I(y)˾
a I(y)
b˾Ҫa(chn)Ʒ
c˾(jng)Ir
dI(y)Ҫ(jng)(j)ָ(bio)A(y)y
eI(y)
fI(y)ИI(y)λ
gI(y)\(yn)I
hI(y)Ј~
iI(y)L
jI(y)δl(f)չڅ
6.3 33
6.4wʩ 34
7 \(yn)Ӌ(j) 34
7.1 w(xing)Ŀxַ 34
7.1.1r
1
(jng)(j)g(sh)_l(f)^(q)̎dh¡|3945֣3950֣|(jng)11625֣116342634ס
2
(jng)(j)g(sh)_l(f)^(q)ů؎ꑼL(fng)Ԛƽ?ci)z11.5ƽ?ci)z26ƽ?ci)z6ȣƽL(fng)2.6/ƽˮ580ס
3|(zh)
(jng)(j)g(sh)_l(f)^(q)|(zh)r(yu)r80-180rƽoюҎ(gu)ȼ(j)8(j)O(sh)̵|(zh)rԝMһ㹤I(y)ýO(sh)Ҫ10-15/ƽ0.85ˮλ6-11Ҍ(du)ogԡ
7.1.2(hu)(jng)(j)r
ĸ_ԁȫhoo@YԴ(yu)ŬU(ku)(du)_ţ(jng)(j)õ^l(f)չȺͬձôĴn¼¡۵ȇҺ͵^(q)˽(jng)Q(mo)P(gun)ϵڮa(chn)Ʒl(f)չ1230NĸʯţtȳȫռҪλ
ȫh(jng)(j)˳m(x)LCϽ(jng)(j)(sh)M(jn)һ(qing)2008ȫha(chn)ֵ54.65|Ԫɱȃr(ji)Ӌ(j)㣬L14.5%
a(chn)I(y){(dio)M(jn)һӴa(chn)I(y)Y(ji)(gu)څһa(chn)I(y)(wn)Lȫֵ9.46|ԪL12.0%ռȫha(chn)ֵı؞17.3%ڶa(chn)I(y)L^죬ȫֵ33.26|ԪL17.2%ռȫha(chn)ֵı؞60.9%a(chn)I(y)ȫֵ11.93|ԪL9.5%ռȫha(chn)ֵı؞21.8%
(jng)(j)΄@D(zhun)Y(wn)LĩȫhλĘI(y)ˆT14326ڍ14232ˣL8.5%ڍY~23545fԪ4786fԪL25.5%ڍƽY16734Ԫ7284ԪL25.5%
I(jng)(j)ٰl(f)չ(du)h(jng)(j)֧ø@2008ȫhII(y)l(f)չ8328(g)()ĘI(y)ˆT58684քeL11.7%4.0%(j)yI(jng)(j)ֵ42.57|ԪL14.0%ռȫha(chn)ֵı_(d)77.9%I(jng)(j)U18789fԪͬ37.9%ռȫhؔ(ci)ı؞77.9%I(jng)(j)ѳɞ֧ҿh(jng)(j)l(f)չҪ
7.3 wO(sh)r 36
7.4 wԭϲُӋ(j) 36
7.5 wҹˇ 37
8 ؔ(ci)(w)A(y)y 40
8.1 ؔ(ci)(w)O(sh) 40
8.2 A(y)Ӌ(j)Ya(chn)ؓ(f) 45
8.3 A(y)Ӌ(j)p 47
8.4 A(y)Ӌ(j)F(xin) 48
8.5 w(xing)Ŀӯ̝ƽ 50
8.6w(xing)ĿԷ
ԷͨǷ_ijһ؆Ϊ(d)׃رԭA(y)y(sh)ֵ׃r(sh)(du)(jng)(j)u(png)r(ji)ָ(bio)Ӱ푡҂(g)_׃ηN̶ȕr(sh)ͶY׃cеRB(ti)ӯ̝ƽc(din)ֵw(xing)Ŀӯ̝ƽc(din)ֵcA(y)yֵƫ
̖(ho) |
(xing)Ŀ |
ӯ̝ƽc(din)ֵ |
ӯ̝ƽc(din)ֵcA(y)yֵƫ |
1 |
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26% |
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2 |
a(chn)N۵Įa(chn)Ʒ(sh) |
92% |
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3 |
̶M(fi) |
92% |
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4 |
λ׃(dng)ɱ |
36% |
(j)ϱжͶY(du)(g)_صĿL(fng)U(xin)ӯ̝ƽc(din)ֵcA(y)yֵƫӯ̝ƽc(din)ֵpȥA(y)yֵIJֵcA(y)yֵıֵԓֵԽfԓ_ص׃(du)(jng)(j)u(png)r(ji)ָ(bio)ֵӰԽСԽȫԓL(fng)U(xin)Խ(qing)ԓֵԽСfԓ_Խ(du)ԓ׃ĿL(fng)U(xin)Խl(f)F(xin)(xing)Ŀӯ(du)Nָ(bio)(xing)Ŀӯdzȫ
8.6 g(sh)(jng)(j)u(png)r(ji) 50
|
(xing)Ŀ |
(sh)ֵ |
λ |
ע |
1 |
w(xing)ĿͶY |
fԪ |
؛ņλţͬ |
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1.1 |
M(fi) |
fԪ |
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1.2 |
̶Ya(chn)ͶY |
fԪ |
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1.2.1 |
УͶY |
fԪ |
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1.2.2 |
??????O(sh)乤ͶY |
fԪ |
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1.3 |
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fԪ |
qr(ji)A(y)M(fi) |
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1.4 |
䁵(dng)Y |
fԪ |
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2 |
YԴ |
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2.1 |
ԻIY |
fԪ |
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2.2 |
yJ |
fԪ |
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3 |
wN |
fԪ |
10a(chn)ƽ |
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4 |
w~ |
fԪ |
10a(chn)ƽ |
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5 |
II(y)(w) |
fԪ |
10wa(chn)ƽ |
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6 |
ؔ(ci)(w)(ni)ʣIRR |
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7 |
ͶY |
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10ƽӋ(j) |
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8 |
ͶY |
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oB(ti) |
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9 |
ؔ(ci)(w)F(xin)ֵNPV |
fԪ |
12%NF(xin)Ӌ(j) |
9L(fng)U(xin)(du) 51
9.1wҼg(sh)L(fng)U(xin) 51
9.2wЈL(fng)U(xin) 51
9.3wL(fng)U(xin) 52
9.4L(fng)U(xin) 52
9.5w˲L(fng)U(xin) 52
10 ̘I(y)Ӌ(j)wҹ˾r(ji)ֵu(png)
10.1˾r(ji)ֵu(png)
҂ɬF(xin)ģͣFree Cash Flow Model(du)˾r(ji)ֵM(jn)й, ɬF(xin)I(y)(jng)I(dng)a(chn)ĬF(xin)L~֧S֬F(xin)a(chn)(jng)IY֧µ֧ĬF(xin)𡣲õģ:
10.2˾r(ji)ֵu(png)Y(ji)Փ
]˾Ľ(jng)IL(fng)U(xin)҂˾F(xin)۬F(xin)O(sh)12%,Ӌ(j)ȡ10,ɬF(xin)Ӌ(j),Ķõ˾r(ji)ֵ***|Ԫ
gķҎ(gu)O(sh)Ӌ(j)˾?lin)м?j)ԃλA`ķͶYԃ؟(z)ι˾Ҽ(j)O(sh)Ӌ(j)λĴʽ˾˾(xing)ĿǰO(sh)Ӌ(j)A¹˾I(y)(w)w(xing)Ŀǰڲ߄yLҎ(gu)(xing)(ji)u(png)ˮYԴu(png)ˮ֡u(png)r(ji)Ըw(xing)Ŀǰڷ(w)˾ҲLԃͶY(w)¹˾Ј{(dio)̘I(y)Ӌ(j)ԃ(zhn)Ҏ(gu)I(lng)дijɹ¹˾Г(dn)˽8000(g)(xing)ĿИI(y)wF·Դ¼g(sh)ȇ(jng)(j)(g)ИI(y)ҲГ(dn)ͶY(xing)Ŀu(png)ƌW(xu)Qṩԃ(w)
ҹ˾YČ҈F(tun)(du)ЌI(y)Փ֪R(sh)SČ(sh)(zhn)عɹ˾(ni)8000ҿ͑Č(sh)`(jng)(yn)Ƿ(w)|(zh)ϡ˾ṩо(bo)YӋ(j)̘I(y)Ӌ(j)Ј{(dio)Ј(bo)YՈ(qng)(bo)ͶYr(ji)ֵ(bo)(hu)(wn)L(fng)U(xin)u(png)(bo)(ji)u(png)(bo)Ȳ(w)
Ԕԃ13911268021